I got a big chuckle out of this article from CNN, about consumers canceling cable service and turning to the Internet for TV.
The analyst/pundit comments reminded me of the Internet naysayers from the mid 90s:
The brutal economy may motivate some consumers, like the Wynsmas, to switch to Web-based TV, but it won’t necessarily hurt the cable or satellite TV business, which has historically been recession-proof.
Yes, but this is the first time in history that consumers have a viable alternative to satellite and cable TV. And, the alternative happens to be entirely on-demand.
And:
“The cable companies have invested billions of dollars to expand the footprint and reach of their services, and it will require a similar investment by the [Internet Protocol Television] players to catch up,” said Lewis, the technology consultant.
Not really: cable companies spent billions building infrastructure, both for broadband/IP and for proprietary cable distribution. Since IP is open access (in theory), the IP TV player don’t need to duplicate that investment — they can just ride on the back of it.
“Historically” recession-proof? How many recessions have we had since the dawn of widespread cable TV: Two, maybe three? And satellite: one, I think?